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Hello, and welcome to the HORIZON weekly newsletter. Particularly warm greetings to our many new subscribers - please do forward this on to colleagues and connections in your network who would also enjoy the insights.
Below you will find some hand-picked fresh thought-leadership content, giving you an overview of recent developments, topical innovations, and what we're seeing and hearing out there towards the digital frontier.
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Recent articles
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"Chance only favours the mind which is prepared" - Louis Pasteur.
Pasteur was, in many senses, a practioner of Foresight. The revered French chemist and pharmacist said this in 1854, during his tenure as Dean of the Faculty of Sciences at Lille. When a person or organisation is prepared, they are more likely to recognise and act upon unexpected opportunities that arise. Opportunities and lucky breaks are thus most likely to be seized by those who are well-informed, knowledgeable, and actively looking for them. In essence, failure(s) has its own value as it can (and must) be learned from - with preparation and awareness are key to capitalising on chance events when they arrive. The theoretical implications and practical importance of Pasteur’s wide body of work were immense - having positive impact in a number of scientific fields long after his own demise. Throughout his life he was an immensely effective observer, readily integrating relevant observations into conceptual schemes. He firmly believed that significant discoveries were often the result of a combination of diligent research and being open to unexpected observations - in effect, spotting change(s). Foresight is all about navigating change: anticipating how the future might unfold, and crafting strategies that enable organisations to be ready whatever happens. Tomorrow is the child of today: therefore...what is it today that you will wish tomorrow that you had done yesterday? That might sound like a riddle, but it's designed to make you think and ask if you are adequately prepared to take advantage of and respond to what might come next. Our world today is one where the unthinkable happens more frequently, and the pace and direction of change continues to increase. As for the future - that is yet to be written. Message us to get started on your journey to being prepared for the top emerging technology trends of tomorrow, today.
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Up to $37 Billion stolen.
This is the amount taken in South East Asia alone by scammers in 2023 according to a report late last year from the United Nations (UN). Despite increased law enforcement efforts, cyber crime syndicates are intensifying their lucrative operations in the region which is becoming something of a worldwide hub. Organised crime groups are hungrily adopting a wide spectrum of cutting-edge tech. The technologies being embraced into their operations include deepfakes, malware, and - inevitably - generative Artificial Intelligence (AI). Asian-based trans-national nefarious enterprises have integrated new service-based business models while establishing new underground markets and cryptocurrency solutions for their money laundering needs. Leveraging these digital advances, criminal gangs are producing larger scale and harder to detect fraud, money laundering, underground banking and online scams. The paper from the UN Office on Drugs and Crime (UNODC) specifically calls out the prevalence of Telegram Messenger, which has close to 1 billion users globally. This is because hacked data including credit card details, passwords and browser history are openly traded on a vast scale on the app which has sprawling channels with little moderation. Among the digital scams in-play include romance-investment schemes, crypto fraud, money laundering, and illegal gambling. Getting a little more physical, the report notes that casinos, hotels and special economic zones are among the property developments that have “become hubs for the booming illicit economy". Major organised crime groups are moving, laundering, and integrating billions in criminal proceeds into and out of the financial system without accountability. It's not just last year either; there was >600% increase in mentions of deepfake-related content targeting criminal groups in Southeast Asia across monitored online platforms in the first half of 2024. No matter where you are in the world - physical or online - organised criminals are converging and exploiting vulnerabilities: the evolving situation is rapidly outpacing governments’ capacity to contain it. If you wish to look it up, the report is titled: Transnational Organized Crime and the Convergence of Cyber-Enabled Fraud, Underground Banking, and Technological Innovation: A Shifting Threat Landscape. Be especially careful and vigilant out there - this cyberfraud trend will only continue in future as more of our life in spent digitally connected.
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Institutional Custody: whilst this might sound like something to do with law enforcement, the primary responsibility of a custodian is ensuring the security of assets.
In finance, a custodian bank is an institution that holds customers' securities for safekeeping to prevent them from being stolen or lost. Custodians tend to be large and reputable firms, providing third-party assurance for counterparties in a given trade. Employing a third-party custodian introduces an additional layer of protection, often accompanied by insurance coverage against asset loss or theft (see previous piece, above). This also maintains confidence in the system more broadly, especially when the assets need to be cleared and settled properly, including meeting various regulatory and accounting procedures. When said securities were always physical - paper bonds, gold bars - this meant storing them securely in a safety deposit box or vault. In our evermore digital realm, things get a little more complicated - but custodians are no less important. When it comes to digital assets, forward-thinking parties recognise the value of custodianship in fortifying the security of holdings. Reliable and secure methods for leveraging digital assets is arguably more important, as the expectation from all parties is to be physically separated yet benefit from effectively instantaneous market trading. OKX, one of the largest digital asset exchanges globally, is partnering with Traditional Finance (TradFi) stalwart Standard Chartered Bank (SCB) to be the digital asset custodian of its institutional clients. This is a move all about wider market reassurance. Teaming up with a reputable bank serves two key purposes: it allows institutional clients to separate trading from custody, as well as bridging the gap between crypto and TradFi. SCB is one of the first Global Systemically Important Banks (G-SIBs) to embrace digital asset custody. In doing so, it not only helps to shape the modus operandi of the market but acting as an intermediary also lends digital assets both credence and credibility. Generally speaking, custodians also offer services to ensure adherence to Anti-Money Laundering (AML) and Know Your Customer (KYC) regulations for each asset owner - crypto holdings need not be treated any different. Institutional Custody services for digital assets can cover security risks (cyber breaches), regulatory risks (audit and compliance), and also operational risks (backup of private keys). This partnership, if successful, will likely further enhance and accelerate institutional engagement in digital assets such as crypto - especially with the price of Bitcoin skyrocketing following recent US elections. No doubt more regulatory scrutiny is ahead (which is positive and necessary), but this remains indicative of a near-term future where digital assets are fully integrated within the TradFi ecosystem.
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Thank-you for reading and being part of our community - we trust you find these original pieces on emerging technology and digital innovation useful, valuable, and thought-provoking as we bridge the gap between today and what future tech might bring tomorrow in Plain English.
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